Thowing Numbers

Everyone keeps asking for me to "throw out some numbers" in regards to the amount of snow we could see for Wednesday/Thursday. I am a little reluctant to do this as everyone then takes this as a forecast amount, but what the hay...

As of the way things look right now, and early guestimate would be for us to see 2" to 6" of snow around the southeast Missouri, southern Illinois, and western Kentucky area Wednesday evening through Thursday.

I want to stress that this is NOT my forecast. This is an early guestimation of what the models are showing right now. Things will undoubtably change between now and Tuesday when we will have a better handle on how much snow we could get.

By the way, the National Weather Service in Paducah, Kentucky sent out a statement this afternoon regarding the snow and cold temperatures for later in the week. Below is the text from the Special Weather Statement they issued.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
231 PM CST SUN JAN 3 2010

...WINTER WILL CONTINUE ITS GRIP ON THE REGION...WITH SNOW POSSIBLE
DURING THE MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK AND COLD CONDITIONS CONTINUING...

IT APPEARS MORE AND MORE LIKELY THAT THE REGION WILL SEE ACCUMULATING
SNOW FALL...MAINLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH A STRONG STORM
SYSTEM FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. PRELIMINARY INDICATIONS
SUGGEST MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS MIGHT OCCUR...WITH AMOUNTS UP TO 4
INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...
SOUTHWEST INDIANA AN WESTERN KENTUCKY. MOST MODELS PROJECT 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. THESE AMOUNTS ARE PRELIMINARY...
AND COULD CHANGE SHOULD FORECAST MODELS ADJUST THE STORM TRACK ONE
DIRECTION OR ANOTHER...OR SUGGEST NOT AS MUCH MOISTURE WILL BE
AVAILABLE FOR SNOW. SO STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECAST...AS IT
MAY BE SUBJECT TO MODIFICATIONS. IF THE FORECAST STAYS ON
TRACK...ADVISORIES MAY EVENTUALLY BE ISSUED.

MEANWHILE...THE MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL WEATHER WILL PERSIST. HIGHS
FOR THE MOST PART WILL CONTINUE TO STAY IN THE 20S TO NEAR 30...WITH
SINGLE DIGIT OR TEEN WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES THE RULE. AT NIGHT WIND
CHILL TEMPERATURES COULD DROP EVEN LOWER...ESPECIALLY LATE IN THE
WEEK.

PERSONS SHOULD MONITOR THE WELL BEING OF THOSE THAT MAY SUFFER MORE
FROM THE EFFECTS OF THE COLD...ESPECIALLY THE ELDERLY AND YOUNG
CHILDREN...OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MOST KIDS WILL BE HEADING
BACK TO SCHOOL THIS WEEK. EACH MORNING WILL BE VERY COLD. IF
NECESSARY...PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PIPES DO NOT
FREEZE. MAKE SURE PROPER MAINTENANCE HAS BEEN DONE ON YOUR VEHICLE
IN ORDER TO BETTER PERFORM IN THE COLD WEATHER.